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When We Pass Peak Oil Production

Discussions about energy supplies have will be 2007 while others predict a
come front and center these days. While future date. While the debate of when
many debate the amount of oil we have peak oil production will occur is
left, fewer discuss what happens when we interesting, a second important question
pass our peak production. is what happens after it?
Oil, oil, oil. It seems you can't turn There are many studies and scenarios
left or right without having the subject regarding our world after we start seeing
come up. The reason, of course, is oil is a decrease in oil production. None of
a fossil fuel that forms the energy basis them are pretty. At first glance, you
for most of the things in our lives. On a might think we would see a gradual
more practical basis, one can hardly be decline in prices and supply that
surprised that many of the political and parallel the decrease in production. The
military conflicts in the world revolve studies do not support this. Instead,
around countries with oil reserves. While issues like panic, conflict and price
somewhat cynical, there is little dispute speculation paint a very ugly situation.
that Kenya is not exactly a hot spot at First and foremost, we will see a sudden,
the moment. unpredicted impact from declining oil
When discussing oil, much of the focus is production. The change will literally
on supply issues. Simply put, who has it? come upon us in a matter of days and
How much do they have? How long will all weeks, not months and years. Making
of it last? Will it be made available to matters worse, our current research into
the world freely, to wit, who controls alternative energy sources offers little
it? All are valid and important relief. At current levels, it will take
questions. One question that doesn't get between 10 and 20 YEARS to replace the
much attention is what happens when we oil supply with other energy sources.
start to run out of it? Obviously, such a gap will lead to a
More than a few scientists have tried to disaster. The studies predict failing
estimate when world wide peak oil economies, massive political unrest and a
production will occur. Much of the potential breakdown of basic civil
discussion focuses on the Hubbert Curve society. In short, it is going to be bad.
which has accurately predicted past peak Whether we want to admit it or not, the
oil production for specific areas. The world is changing around us. One of the
problem in predicting when world wide most important aspects of that change is
peak oil production will occur is people oil production is going to hit its peak
apply different numbers to the formula and then decline. When it declines, we
that determines the curve. Some feel it better be ready to deal with it.




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